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Title:
Short-term prospects in South Vietnam
Date of Creation:
February 4, 1965
Date of Declassification:
July 20, 1995
Type of Document:
Special National Intelligence Estimate
Level of Classification:
SECRET
Status of Copy:
ORIGINAL
Pagination, Illustration:
12 p.
Abstract:
This SNIE no. 53-65 presents the following conclusion: The course of events in the near-term future will be materially influenced by the ultimate effect of the extreme nationalist sentiments whipped up in recent weeks. Such sentiments, because of their xenophobic and anti-American overtones, will obviously cause considerable complications for the US effort. The regime is still aware of its need for US support, but even in the short run we expect that nationalist sensitivities will set severe limits on the degree to which the US can influence Vietnamese actions. The chances have increased that nationalist sentiments, in combination with war weariness and frustrations, will take a pro-neutralist turn which the Communists would endeavor to fan and exploit. On the other hand, however, a vigorous nationalism identified with an indigenously devised government reflecting local political realities will be an essential ingredient for any dynamic and successful counterinsurgency effort.
Indexing Terms:
Declassified Documents Reference System Location:
1996-1868